Reflecting upon 10 Years of Geoengineering Research

http://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/hub/issue/10.1002/(ISSN)2328-4277.GEOENGIN1/

Reflecting upon 10 Years of Geoengineering Research: Introduction to the Crutzen + 10 Special Issue

“Ten years ago, Nobel laureate Paul Crutzen called for research into the possibility of reflecting sunlight away from Earth by injecting sulfur particles into the stratosphere. Across academic disciplines, Crutzen’s intervention caused a surge in interest in and research on proposals for what is often referred to as “geoengineering” – an unbounded set of heterogeneous proposals for intentionally intervening into the climate system to reduce the risks of climate change. To mark the 10 year anniversary of the publication of Paul Crutzen’s seminal essay, this special issue reviews the developments in geoengineering research since Crutzen’s intervention and reflects upon possible future directions that geoengineering research may take.”

A great collect of open access articles on Geoengineering

Table of Contents

Authors
Miranda Boettcher, Stefan Schäfer
First Published:
18 January 2017
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000521

KEY POINTS

  • In the decade since Crutzen’s seminal essay, the field has developed and diversified
  • This 10th anniversary special issue takes stock and reflects on possible future developments in geoengineering research
  • Contributions from a wide range of authors reflect the future‐orientation and socio‐political dimensions of geoengineering discussions

Open Access

 

 

 

 

Was breaking the taboo on research on climate engineering via albedo modification a moral hazard, or a moral imperative?

Authors
Mark G. Lawrence, Paul J. Crutzen
First Published:
17 November 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000463

KEY POINTS

  • The 2006 Climatic Change special section facilitated opening up scientific research on climate engineering via albedo modification.
  • The “policy dilemma” between air pollution and climate change posed by Crutzen [2006] was eventually resolved by a shift in politics.
  • Attention is needed to limit ethical risks like the moral hazard, for example by embedding scientific research in broader societal dialogue.

Open Access

Geoengineering with stratospheric aerosols: What do we not know after a decade of research?

Authors
Douglas G. MacMartin, Ben Kravitz, Jane C. S. Long, Philip J. Rasch
First Published:
18 November 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000418

KEY POINTS

  • Research should be strategic to inform possible future decisions about deployment of an intervention
  • Uncertainties include both “scientific” and “design” (or engineering) questions
  • Geoengineering research should aim both to reduce and manage uncertainties

Open Access

Solar geoengineering could substantially reduce climate risks—A research hypothesis for the next decade

Authors
David W. Keith, Peter J. Irvine
First Published:
30 November 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000465

KEY POINTS

  • Solar geoengineering (SG) research needs policy‐relevant hypotheses about performance of specific deployment scenarios and technologies
  • Research needs to move beyond tests of SG as a substitute for mitigation to tests of the efficacy and risks of SG as a supplement
  • As a testable claim, we suggest that if used to halve the temperature rise SG would reduce aggregate climate risks for all countries

Open Access

The futures of climate engineering

Authors
Sean Low
First Published:
17 January 2017
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000442

KEY POINTS

  • Appeals to the future drive the discourse, science, and policy of climate engineering in the present.
  • Future claims are implicit in framings and models; a prominent example is the inclusion of negative emissions in IPCC scenarios.
  • Foresight methods can provide a platform for structured communication on future claims under conditions of deep uncertainty.

Open Access

What do people think when they think about solar geoengineering? A review of empirical social science literature, and prospects for future research

Authors
Elizabeth T. Burns, Jane A. Flegal, David W. Keith, Aseem Mahajan, Dustin Tingley, Gernot Wagner
First Published:
1 November 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000461

KEY POINTS

  • Empirical social science research on public views of solar geoengineering is methodologically diverse, focused mostly on the Global North
  • Framing solar geoengineering poses a particular challenge, as the mere introduction of the topic can bias views
  • Studies find some conditional—perhaps reluctant—openness to certain kinds of solar geoengineering research

Open Access

Mitigation deterrence and the “moral hazard” of solar radiation management

Authors
Duncan McLaren
First Published:
20 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000445

KEY POINTS

  • The relevance of mitigation deterrence depends critically on the assumed goals of climate policy
  • The greater the divergence between perceived and actual substitutability of SRM for mitigation the more significant the hazard
  • More effective responses are needed in SRM research governance as well as in deployment governance

Open Access

Indicators and metrics for the assessment of climate engineering

Authors
A. Oschlies, H. Held, D. Keller, K. Keller, N. Mengis, M. Quaas, W. Rickels, H. Schmidt
First Published:
13 January 2017
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000449

KEY POINTS

  • Traditional climate change indicators and metrics may lose their relevance under climate engineering (CE)
  • A comprehensive assessment of CE and mitigation would benefit from common indicators and metrics
  • We propose an iterative process between scientists and stakeholders to define indicators and metrics for assessing CE

Open Access

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Five solar geoengineering tropes that have outstayed their welcome

Authors
Jesse L. Reynolds, Andy Parker, Peter Irvine
First Published:
13 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000416

KEY POINTS

  • Some claims about SRM persist in academic and popular literature despite evidence and strong arguments to the contrary
  • This paper describes and refutes five common claims regarding costs, risks, and politics of SRM that are unsupported by the evidence
  • Repeating unsupported claims do a disservice to the debate when there is a need for evidence‐based, even‐handed scrutiny of SRM

Open Access

Will China be the first to initiate climate engineering?

Authors
John C. Moore, Ying Chen, Xuefeng Cui, Wenping Yuan, Wenjie Dong, Yun Gao, Peijun Shi
First Published:
13 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000402

KEY POINTS

  • China has been suggested as likely to initiate the climate engineering despite strong philosophical and cultural bias against this
  • China’s history of “gardening” the natural environment means that it sees climate engineering in a different way than that in the West
  • Chinese attitudes and experience with engineered environments should be considered, and may provide useful guidance for global governance

Open Access

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Reflecting on 50 years of geoengineering research

Authors
Ken Caldeira, Govindasamy Bala
First Published:
12 January 2017
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000454

KEY POINTS

  • Solar geoengineering has been a focus of inquiry for over 50 years
  • Sustained progress in “geoengineering” research will depend on sustained social and material support for experimental work
  • Future trajectories for carbon dioxide removal technologies may differ dramatically from those for solar geoengineering technologies

Open Access

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The rationale for accelerating regionally focused climate intervention research

Authors
Michael C. MacCracken
First Published:
29 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000450

KEY POINTS

  • Foreseeable cuts in CO2 and greenhouse gas emissions will not quickly and sufficiently forestall climate disruption and associated suffering
  • Negative emissions and climate intervention, although difficult and even problematic, may well be necessary policy steps, as Crutzen foresaw
  • Investigation and deployment of regional interventions may moderate severe impacts and provide insights about potential global intervention

Open Access

Development of geopolitically relevant ranking criteria for geoengineering methods

Authors
Philip W. Boyd
First Published:
24 November 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000447

KEY POINTS

  • Events such as the Pinatubo eruption provide richly textured data sets that reveal multifaceted Earth System responses to perturbation
  • Despite governance impasses to advancing geoengineering research, natural events such as Pinatubo help to broaden ranking criteria
  • Development of geopolitical ranking criteria reveals a diverse range of diagnostics to intercompare geoengineering approaches

Open Access

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Albedo enhancement by stratospheric sulfur injections: More research needed

Authors
Alan Robock
First Published:
18 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000407

KEY POINTS

  • Paul Crutzen warned the world about dangerous global warming and inspired important geoengineering research in 2006
  • Stratospheric geoengineering could present a number of risks and concerns as well as benefits, but there are still many issues to address
  • More research on geoengineering is needed so that if society is tempted to implement geoengineering, it will be an informed decision

Open Access

Solar geoengineering economics: From incredible to inevitable and half‐way back

Authors
Anthony Harding, Juan B. Moreno‐Cruz
First Published:
13 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000462

KEY POINTS

  • Economists were initially attracted to solar geoengineering because of the inexpensive implementation costs
  • After concurring engineering costs analyses estimating low deployment costs, economists began to see solar geoengineering as an inevitable response to the climate change
  • As economists have taken a closer look at the uncertainties, risks, and international politics of solar geoengineering, the feeling of inevitability of solar geoengineering has waned, but warrants more research
  • The work done by economists in solar geoengineering is built on work by researchers in other fields, and moving forward there is going to be an even greater need for interdisciplinary research

Open Access

Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering

Authors
Peter J. Irvine, Ben Kravitz, Mark G. Lawrence, Dieter Gerten, Cyril Caminade, Simon N. Gosling, Erica J. Hendy, Belay T. Kassie, W. Daniel Kissling, Helene Muri, et al
First Published:
24 January 2017
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000389

KEY POINTS

  • The paucity of climate impacts studies on solar geoengineering is a key missing link in the interdisciplinary research on this topic
  • The climate impacts community can use existing tools and datasets to assess many solar geoengineering effects on natural and human systems
  • Solar geoengineering could be tailored to produce different climate outcomes demanding innovative approaches to impacts assessment

Open Access

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Regional climate engineering by radiation management: Prerequisites and prospects

Authors
Johannes Quaas, Martin F. Quaas, Olivier Boucher, Wilfried Rickels
First Published:
21 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000440

KEY POINTS

  • The article introduces the concept of regional radiation management and its prospects
  • Regional‐scale economic incentives are demonstrated on the basis of published data
  • Feasibility and traceability of regional climate modification need to be investigated and new governance options have to be conceived

Open Access

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Geoengineering: a humanitarian concern

Authors
Pablo Suarez, Maarten K. van Aalst
First Published:
23 December 2016
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000464

KEY POINTS

  • The deliberate manipulation of the global climate can impact vulnerable people not included in decisions: this is a humanitarian concern
  • The Paris Agreement aspiration to keep global warming below 2 degrees did not aim to endorse SRM, but rather aggressive mitigation pathways
  • If resources must be directed towards exploring geoengineering full consideration should be given to needs and role of the most vulnerable

Open Access

Research for assessment, not deployment, of Climate Engineering: The German Research Foundation’s Priority Program SPP 1689

Authors
Andreas Oschlies, Gernot Klepper
First Published:
24 January 2017
DOI:
10.1002/2016EF000446

KEY POINTS

  • The bottom–up approach of concerned scientists has developed into an interdisciplinary research program to assess climate engineering
  • Research aims at critical assessment of climate engineering, not its deployment
  • A general trend of results so far indicates that the potential of climate engineering becomes smaller the closer we look

Open Access

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